Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -130 NKU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +8 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -5.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (+15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -5.0 (+3.0) | 150.2 (+17.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -3.2 (+4.8) | 149.7 (+18.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -4.2 (+3.8) | 148.2 (+19.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -4.3 (+3.7) | 149.3 (+18.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | WRST 103 – 90 NKU |
| Mar 1, 2026 | WRST 92 – 91 NKU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NKU 80 – 76 WRST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WRST 78 – 70 NKU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | NKU 99 – 97 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 9-5 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.8 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#140) | -0.2 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#151) | -0.02 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#137) | -0.13 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#147) | 0.485 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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