But where the fuck is the waitress at with my drinks! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
Rider Broncs
75 – 76 OT
FINAL Conference
Siena Saints
Metro Conference · Alumni Gymnasium (Rider) · February 13, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread RID -2.0 Away covered
O/U 133.0 Over
Money RID -135 / SIE +115
Model Predictions
Spread Total RID win
Actual SIE +1 151 Lost
Massey RID -2.6 (-3.6) — —
Massey Totals — 130.6 (+20.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 43% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 50% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RID -1.0 (-2.0) 133.8 (+17.2) 52% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML RID -1.7 (-2.7) 134.8 (+16.2) 59% ✗
Baseline ML RID -2.3 (-3.3) 133.8 (+17.2) 57% ✗
Baseline Plus ML RID -1.9 (-2.9) 136.1 (+14.9) 58% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2026 SIE 76 – 61 RID
Jan 4, 2026 SIE 74 – 65 RID
Mar 11, 2025 RID 78 – 76 SIE
Feb 8, 2025 RID 61 – 59 SIE
Feb 3, 2024 RID 91 – 50 SIE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RID SIE
Overall 14-19 15-14
Conference 8-12 12-8
Home 7-6 8-5
Away 4-11 7-8
Neutral 3-2 0-1
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 67.3 66.3
Avg Pts Against 69.7 69.2
Massey -5.7 (#265) -5.4 (#261)
Bradley-Terry -0.90 (#248) -0.13 (#189)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.11 (#251) -0.56 (#213)
RPI 0.451 (#261) 0.494 (#183)
Shooting & Four Factors RID SIE
FG% 39.6% 43.3%
3PT% 30.0% 35.3%
REB / G 37.6 32.8
OREB / G 11.5 8.0
AST / TO 0.99 0.73
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.7% 49.1%
TOV% 17.2% 19.5%
ORB% 29.7% 23.9%
FT Rate 20.8% 20.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.0% 48.5%
Opp TOV% 19.5% 17.3%
DRB% 71.6% 72.1%
Opp FT Rate 24.1% 22.4%

Game Analysis

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