Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | MRST -280 CAN +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +1 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -9.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -5.9 (-4.9) | 141.2 (-0.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -7.1 (-6.1) | 141.5 (-0.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -6.5 (-5.5) | 140.3 (+0.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -7.4 (-6.4) | 141.6 (-0.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | MRST 88 – 86 CAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MRST 89 – 81 CAN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MRST 70 – 47 CAN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MRST 78 – 55 CAN |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MRST 80 – 71 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 7-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#166) | -6.6 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#240) | -0.97 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#211) | -1.55 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#220) | 0.460 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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