Betting Lines
| Spread | CAN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | CAN -138 MRST +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +9 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | CAN -4.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (+21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -2.8 (-11.8) | 131.8 (+19.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -2.4 (-11.4) | 130.4 (+20.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -2.5 (-11.5) | 130.3 (+20.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -2.2 (-11.2) | 131.0 (+20.0) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | MRST 88 – 86 CAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MRST 89 – 81 CAN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MRST 70 – 47 CAN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MRST 78 – 55 CAN |
| Feb 5, 2023 | MRST 75 – 67 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 62.2 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#221) | -3.9 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#242) | -0.98 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#236) | -1.32 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#215) | 0.437 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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