Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | MRST -1000 CAN +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +8 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -15.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (+36.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -11.7 (-3.7) | 131.5 (+38.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -10.5 (-2.5) | 132.8 (+37.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -11.6 (-3.6) | 131.5 (+38.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -12.0 (-4.0) | 131.3 (+38.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | MRST 88 – 86 CAN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MRST 70 – 47 CAN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MRST 78 – 55 CAN |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MRST 80 – 71 CAN |
| Feb 5, 2023 | MRST 75 – 67 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-10 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 3-17 |
| Home | 11-4 | 1-12 |
| Away | 9-5 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L5 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#226) | -15.9 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#141) | -3.06 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#179) | -3.42 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#137) | 0.400 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 25.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 18.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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