Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | CAN +300 MRST -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +23 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | MRST -7.5 (-15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -8.0 (-15.0) | 133.8 (-16.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -7.6 (-15.4) | 131.4 (-14.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -7.0 (-16.0) | 133.7 (-16.7) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -6.8 (-16.2) | 135.4 (-18.4) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | MRST 88 – 86 CAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MRST 89 – 81 CAN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MRST 78 – 55 CAN |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MRST 80 – 71 CAN |
| Feb 5, 2023 | MRST 75 – 67 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-28 | 20-10 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 13-7 |
| Home | 1-12 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-15 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 64.5 |
| Massey | -15.2 (#355) | -4.2 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.77 (#347) | 0.49 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.22 (#341) | -0.03 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#340) | 0.514 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 26.5 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 19.3% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.0% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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