Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MRST -150 CAN +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -2.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -0.3 (+7.7) | 135.5 (+6.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -1.3 (+6.7) | 135.2 (+6.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -1.2 (+6.8) | 135.0 (+7.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -0.6 (+7.4) | 134.7 (+7.3) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | MRST 88 – 86 CAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MRST 89 – 81 CAN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MRST 70 – 47 CAN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MRST 78 – 55 CAN |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MRST 80 – 71 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 8-12 |
| Home | 5-10 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#305) | -6.4 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#315) | -1.80 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#320) | -2.13 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#311) | 0.437 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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