Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | MRST -250 CAN +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +23 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -5.1 (+17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -5.2 (+17.8) | 134.6 (-1.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -3.0 (+20.0) | 133.2 (-0.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -4.5 (+18.5) | 132.6 (+0.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -5.1 (+17.9) | 133.2 (-0.2) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | MRST 88 – 86 CAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MRST 89 – 81 CAN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MRST 70 – 47 CAN |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MRST 80 – 71 CAN |
| Feb 5, 2023 | MRST 75 – 67 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.2 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#212) | -4.4 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#235) | -0.88 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#250) | -1.04 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#236) | 0.470 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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