Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | CAN +410 MRST -550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +2 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | MRST -12.2 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.9 (+54.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -11.6 (+9.6) | 126.4 (+47.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -11.3 (+9.3) | 124.5 (+49.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -11.0 (+9.0) | 122.2 (+51.8) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -11.6 (+9.6) | 124.4 (+49.6) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | MRST 89 – 81 CAN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MRST 70 – 47 CAN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MRST 78 – 55 CAN |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MRST 80 – 71 CAN |
| Feb 5, 2023 | MRST 75 – 67 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.2 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 63.9 |
| Massey | -14.3 (#348) | 1.1 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#300) | -0.08 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#309) | -0.12 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#282) | 0.511 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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