Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
| Money | HAW -130 CSUF +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +17 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -2.0 (+15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -1.8 (+15.2) | 132.0 (-5.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -1.0 (+16.0) | 135.0 (-8.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -1.0 (+16.0) | 136.0 (-9.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -0.6 (+16.4) | 134.8 (-7.8) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | HAW 78 – 63 CSUF |
| Mar 1, 2026 | HAW 87 – 85 CSUF |
| Dec 7, 2025 | HAW 69 – 59 CSUF |
| Feb 2, 2025 | HAW 82 – 57 CSUF |
| Jan 11, 2025 | HAW 95 – 86 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 11-4 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#163) | 1.0 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#198) | 0.44 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#193) | 0.37 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#222) | 0.518 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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