Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | CP +350 UCSB -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +5 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSB -9.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -9.5 (+4.5) | 127.7 (+5.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -7.6 (+2.6) | 129.6 (+3.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -7.9 (+2.9) | 130.1 (+2.9) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -8.5 (+3.5) | 128.6 (+4.4) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | CP 89 – 79 UCSB |
| Jan 23, 2026 | UCSB 107 – 67 CP |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCSB 96 – 77 CP |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UCSB 75 – 72 CP |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UCSB 83 – 75 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-21 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 8-5 |
| Home | 4-7 | 11-3 |
| Away | 2-12 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#316) | 2.3 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#318) | -0.87 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#313) | -0.67 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#325) | 0.440 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.