Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | UCSB -290 CP +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +19 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -7.8 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -7.1 (+11.9) | 153.9 (+19.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -7.0 (+12.0) | 159.0 (+14.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -6.2 (+12.8) | 155.6 (+17.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -6.3 (+12.7) | 155.0 (+18.0) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | CP 89 – 79 UCSB |
| Jan 23, 2026 | UCSB 107 – 67 CP |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UCSB 75 – 72 CP |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UCSB 83 – 75 CP |
| Jan 7, 2024 | UCSB 61 – 52 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 83.4 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#132) | -2.8 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#144) | -0.26 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#155) | -0.40 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#211) | 0.472 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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