Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UCSB -1000 CP +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +8 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -14.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -12.9 (-4.9) | 137.8 (+20.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -11.3 (-3.3) | 138.6 (+19.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -10.7 (-2.7) | 136.8 (+21.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -10.6 (-2.6) | 138.2 (+19.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | CP 89 – 79 UCSB |
| Jan 23, 2026 | UCSB 107 – 67 CP |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCSB 96 – 77 CP |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UCSB 75 – 72 CP |
| Jan 7, 2024 | UCSB 61 – 52 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 0-20 |
| Home | 9-7 | 3-11 |
| Away | 6-7 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L20 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#177) | -12.4 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#200) | -2.34 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#188) | -2.88 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#223) | 0.375 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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