Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
| Money | STMN +250 NDSU -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +11 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | NDSU -3.1 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -2.1 (-8.9) | 144.8 (-5.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -4.1 (-6.9) | 147.0 (-8.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -4.3 (-6.7) | 147.6 (-8.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -4.9 (-6.1) | 147.5 (-8.5) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | STMN 84 – 62 NDSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NDSU 68 – 65 STMN |
| Feb 2, 2025 | STMN 79 – 62 NDSU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | STMN 89 – 85 NDSU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | STMN 68 – 58 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 5-8 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#295) | -1.7 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#314) | 0.53 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#302) | 0.36 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#313) | 0.524 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 28.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.4% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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