Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -410 MONM +330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +8 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -7.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -7.5 (+0.5) | 141.9 (-9.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -7.0 (+1.0) | 143.6 (-11.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -6.9 (+1.1) | 142.7 (-10.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -6.4 (+1.6) | 145.1 (-13.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2022 | IONA 86 – 85 MONM |
| Feb 21, 2021 | IONA 88 – 65 MONM |
| Feb 20, 2021 | IONA 91 – 86 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-0 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#82) | 2.5 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#50) | 0.89 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#63) | 0.98 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#18) | 0.568 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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