Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -110 MONM +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +23 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -0.5 (+22.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -1.9 (+21.1) | 152.9 (+0.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -1.3 (+21.7) | 154.9 (-1.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -1.2 (+21.8) | 157.0 (-4.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -1.6 (+21.4) | 157.1 (-4.1) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2022 | IONA 70 – 62 MONM |
| Jan 19, 2022 | IONA 86 – 85 MONM |
| Feb 20, 2021 | IONA 91 – 86 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-6 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 6-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 4-2 | 7-2 |
| Away | 4-3 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#177) | 1.2 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#180) | 0.32 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#186) | 0.32 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#152) | 0.562 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.8% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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