Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +1 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -0.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+27.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -0.9 (-0.1) | 141.5 (+29.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -0.2 (-0.8) | 142.8 (+28.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -0.0 (-1.0) | 143.1 (+27.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -0.3 (-0.7) | 144.6 (+26.4) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2022 | IONA 70 – 62 MONM |
| Feb 21, 2021 | IONA 88 – 65 MONM |
| Feb 20, 2021 | IONA 91 – 86 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 17-3 |
| Home | 9-5 | 13-0 |
| Away | 10-7 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#105) | 8.6 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#82) | 2.37 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#95) | 3.05 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#64) | 0.631 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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