In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Chartway Arena · February 13, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread UAB -7.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money ODU +280 / UAB -350
Model Predictions
Spread Total ODU win
Actual ODU +9 153 Won
Massey UAB -11.0 (+20.0) — —
Massey Totals — 136.8 (+16.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 14% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 8% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UAB -7.3 (+16.3) 138.4 (+14.6) 23% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML UAB -7.7 (+16.7) 139.7 (+13.3) 19% ✗
Baseline ML UAB -8.3 (+17.3) 141.8 (+11.2) 23% ✗
Baseline Plus ML UAB -8.9 (+17.9) 140.5 (+12.5) 23% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2021 ODU 65 – 58 UAB
Feb 20, 2021 UAB 76 – 69 ODU

Game Analysis

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