We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Bartow Arena · February 20, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread UAB -5.5 Home covered
O/U 131.5 Over
Money UAB -225 / ODU +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total UAB win
Actual UAB +7 145 Won
Massey UAB -10.8 (-3.8) — —
Massey Totals — 132.1 (+12.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 61% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 74% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UAB -8.0 (-1.0) 132.5 (+12.5) 74% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UAB -9.9 (-2.9) 135.5 (+9.5) 82% ✓
Baseline ML UAB -10.4 (-3.4) 135.4 (+9.6) 81% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UAB -10.3 (-3.3) 136.0 (+9.0) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 13, 2022 ODU 81 – 72 UAB
Feb 20, 2021 ODU 65 – 58 UAB

Game Analysis

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