Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
| Money | WSU -700 ASU +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +3 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | WSU -13.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -12.4 (-15.4) | 138.4 (-25.4) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -11.6 (-14.6) | 138.3 (-25.3) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -11.5 (-14.5) | 136.4 (-23.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -12.2 (-15.2) | 136.7 (-23.7) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | ASU 100 – 94 WSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | ASU 73 – 61 WSU |
| Jan 29, 2023 | WSU 75 – 58 ASU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | ASU 77 – 71 WSU |
| Dec 2, 2021 | WSU 51 – 29 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#30) | 1.6 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#82) | 0.49 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#72) | 0.30 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#67) | 0.519 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 14.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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