All your compliments and your cutting remarks are captured here in my quotation marks. "Everyday I Write the Book" - Elvis Costello
Arizona State Sun Devils
100 94
FINAL Neutral Southwest Maui Invitational
Washington State Cougars
Lahaina Civic Center (Neutral) · November 26, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread ASU -4.5 Home covered
O/U 157.5 Over
Money ASU -230 / WSU +190
Model Predictions
Spread Total ASU win
Actual ASU +6 194 Won
Massey ASU -6.7 (-0.7)
Massey Totals 156.9 (+37.1)
Bradley-Terry 96%
Weighted B-T 98%
Efficiency Plus ML ASU -6.5 (-0.5) 144.1 (+49.9) 70%
Baseline Tuned ML ASU -6.0 (-0.0) 146.3 (+47.7) 80%
Baseline ML ASU -6.3 (-0.3) 149.4 (+44.6) 74%
Baseline Plus ML ASU -7.7 (-1.7) 147.1 (+46.9) 77%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2024 ASU 7361 WSU
Jan 29, 2023 WSU 7558 ASU
Jan 6, 2023 ASU 7771 WSU
Feb 13, 2022 ASU 5855 WSU
Dec 2, 2021 WSU 5129 ASU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ASU WSU
Overall 17-16 12-20
Conference 7-11 7-11
Home 10-5 9-6
Away 2-9 2-11
Neutral 5-2 1-3
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 76.3 75.6
Avg Pts Against 78.3 77.3
Massey 3.0 (#122) -3.6 (#234)
Bradley-Terry 2.05 (#49) -1.04 (#266)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.26 (#45) -0.87 (#226)
RPI 0.552 (#102) 0.405 (#312)
Shooting & Four Factors ASU WSU
FG% 44.6% 47.3%
3PT% 36.1% 30.5%
REB / G 33.8 33.4
OREB / G 10.0 9.8
AST / TO 1.23 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.3% 54.1%
TOV% 14.1% 14.5%
ORB% 27.6% 29.7%
FT Rate 29.0% 26.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.5% 58.8%
Opp TOV% 22.8% 16.2%
DRB% 68.8% 80.8%
Opp FT Rate 29.7% 27.2%

Game Analysis

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