Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | ASU -200 WSU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +6 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | ASU -5.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (+18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -5.7 (+0.3) | 135.9 (+12.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -4.3 (+1.7) | 132.9 (+15.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -5.1 (+0.9) | 135.1 (+12.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -4.9 (+1.1) | 136.9 (+11.1) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | ASU 100 – 94 WSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | ASU 73 – 61 WSU |
| Jan 29, 2023 | WSU 75 – 58 ASU |
| Feb 13, 2022 | ASU 58 – 55 WSU |
| Dec 2, 2021 | WSU 51 – 29 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#59) | 7.5 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#47) | 0.14 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#54) | 0.61 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#54) | 0.520 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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