Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | WSU -154 ASU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +17 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -3.4 (+13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -2.4 (+14.6) | 136.0 (-3.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -3.7 (+13.3) | 133.8 (-0.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -2.1 (+14.9) | 135.0 (-2.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -2.5 (+14.5) | 135.9 (-2.9) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | ASU 100 – 94 WSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | ASU 73 – 61 WSU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | ASU 77 – 71 WSU |
| Feb 13, 2022 | ASU 58 – 55 WSU |
| Dec 2, 2021 | WSU 51 – 29 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#64) | 8.6 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#135) | 1.62 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#113) | 2.02 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#140) | 0.574 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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