Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
Pac-12 Conference · Desert Financial Arena · December 2, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ASU -1.0 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total ASU win
Actual WSU +22 80 Lost
Massey WSU -2.0 (-20.0) — —
Massey Totals — 149.6 (-69.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 41% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 45% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WSU -3.6 (-18.4) 148.2 (-68.2) 36% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WSU -4.2 (-17.8) 142.6 (-62.6) 30% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WSU -2.5 (-19.5) 147.1 (-67.1) 39% ✓
Baseline ML WSU -5.5 (-16.5) 149.8 (-69.8) 36% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 26, 2025 ASU 100 – 94 WSU
Feb 25, 2024 ASU 73 – 61 WSU
Jan 29, 2023 WSU 75 – 58 ASU
Jan 6, 2023 ASU 77 – 71 WSU
Feb 13, 2022 ASU 58 – 55 WSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ASU WSU
Overall 14-17 22-15
Conference 10-10 11-9
Home 9-6 13-7
Away 5-7 8-5
Neutral 0-4 1-3
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 65.4 71.5
Avg Pts Against 67.2 64.9
Massey 0.8 (#157) 8.9 (#41)
Bradley-Terry -1.25 (#269) 0.40 (#153)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.31 (#254) 0.43 (#159)
RPI 0.462 (#238) 0.522 (#143)
Shooting & Four Factors ASU WSU
FG% 41.9% 46.9%
3PT% 32.7% 34.2%
REB / G 35.3 39.0
OREB / G 11.0 12.8
AST / TO 1.14 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.5% 54.0%
TOV% 18.0% 16.7%
ORB% 29.4% 38.5%
FT Rate 17.3% 36.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 45.6%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 18.5%
DRB% 70.5% 69.8%
Opp FT Rate 21.2% 27.0%

Game Analysis

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