Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +22 | 80 | Lost |
| Massey | WSU -2.0 (-20.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-69.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -4.2 (-17.8) | 142.6 (-62.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -2.5 (-19.5) | 147.1 (-67.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -5.5 (-16.5) | 149.8 (-69.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -3.6 (-18.4) | 148.2 (-68.2) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | ASU 100 – 94 WSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | ASU 73 – 61 WSU |
| Jan 29, 2023 | WSU 75 – 58 ASU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | ASU 77 – 71 WSU |
| Feb 13, 2022 | ASU 58 – 55 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-6 | 13-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#157) | 8.9 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#269) | 0.40 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#254) | 0.43 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#238) | 0.522 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 38.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 36.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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