Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | ASU +188 WSU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -6.5 (+18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -4.5 (+16.5) | 140.9 (-6.9) | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -4.3 (+16.3) | 140.2 (-6.2) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -4.4 (+16.4) | 137.6 (-3.6) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -4.5 (+16.5) | 139.2 (-5.2) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | ASU 100 – 94 WSU |
| Jan 29, 2023 | WSU 75 – 58 ASU |
| Jan 6, 2023 | ASU 77 – 71 WSU |
| Feb 13, 2022 | ASU 58 – 55 WSU |
| Dec 2, 2021 | WSU 51 – 29 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#127) | 12.6 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#113) | 2.27 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#114) | 2.54 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#117) | 0.594 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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