Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP -260 MRSH +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +9 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | UTEP -7.9 (-16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -6.8 (-15.8) | 145.3 (+21.7) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -7.9 (-16.9) | 144.3 (+22.7) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -7.9 (-16.9) | 144.7 (+22.3) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -8.6 (-17.6) | 146.2 (+20.8) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Game Analysis
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