Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Over |
| Money | CSUB -360 CSUN +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +6 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUB -6.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -6.4 (-12.4) | 130.0 (+6.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -3.8 (-9.8) | 131.9 (+4.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -3.8 (-9.8) | 132.7 (+3.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -3.7 (-9.7) | 132.7 (+3.3) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CSUN 86 – 84 CSUB |
| Dec 5, 2025 | CSUN 87 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CSUN 88 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 12, 2025 | CSUB 94 – 90 CSUN |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 71 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-19 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 3-13 |
| Home | 5-7 | 4-11 |
| Away | 2-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#267) | -9.8 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#299) | -1.51 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#288) | -1.84 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#314) | 0.442 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.0% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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