Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | CSUB +130 CSUN -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUB -0.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -0.4 (-5.4) | 142.1 (+4.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -0.6 (-5.6) | 139.9 (+7.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -0.1 (-5.1) | 140.3 (+6.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -0.1 (-4.9) | 141.6 (+5.4) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CSUN 86 – 84 CSUB |
| Dec 5, 2025 | CSUN 87 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CSUN 88 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 12, 2025 | CSUB 94 – 90 CSUN |
| Jan 26, 2024 | CSUB 64 – 56 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 2-13 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#261) | -2.3 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#263) | 0.08 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#261) | -0.21 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#289) | 0.489 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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