Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | CSUB +165 CSUN -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +4 | 184 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -2.7 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+35.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -2.7 (+6.7) | 148.6 (+35.4) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -2.4 (+6.4) | 145.5 (+38.5) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -2.7 (+6.7) | 144.6 (+39.4) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -2.6 (+6.6) | 145.9 (+38.1) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CSUN 86 – 84 CSUB |
| Dec 5, 2025 | CSUN 87 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CSUN 88 – 62 CSUB |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 71 CSUB |
| Jan 26, 2024 | CSUB 64 – 56 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#218) | 3.4 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#222) | 0.49 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#208) | 0.51 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#230) | 0.490 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.6% | 38.9% |
Game Analysis
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