Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN -150 CSUB +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +8 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUN -6.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-26.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -4.8 (-12.8) | 143.8 (-23.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -4.1 (-12.1) | 141.6 (-21.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -4.8 (-12.8) | 142.5 (-22.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -4.3 (-12.3) | 143.1 (-23.1) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CSUN 86 – 84 CSUB |
| Dec 5, 2025 | CSUN 87 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CSUN 88 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 12, 2025 | CSUB 94 – 90 CSUN |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 71 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#205) | -5.1 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#153) | -1.21 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#176) | -1.38 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#193) | 0.411 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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