Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | CSUB +310 CSUN -395 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +2 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUN -7.9 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -6.9 (+4.9) | 161.1 (+8.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -7.7 (+5.7) | 160.5 (+9.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -7.0 (+5.0) | 158.9 (+11.1) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -7.5 (+5.5) | 158.9 (+11.1) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2025 | CSUN 87 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CSUN 88 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 12, 2025 | CSUB 94 – 90 CSUN |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 71 CSUB |
| Jan 26, 2024 | CSUB 64 – 56 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 12-8 |
| Home | 6-11 | 12-3 |
| Away | 1-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L15 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.4 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -11.8 (#327) | -0.9 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#326) | 0.21 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#331) | 0.05 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#354) | 0.516 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.1% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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