Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN -238 CSUB +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +21 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -2.6 (+18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -1.8 (+19.2) | 150.1 (+2.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -4.2 (+16.8) | 148.4 (+4.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -1.9 (+19.1) | 147.6 (+5.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -2.1 (+18.9) | 148.7 (+4.3) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CSUN 86 – 84 CSUB |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CSUN 88 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 12, 2025 | CSUB 94 – 90 CSUN |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 71 CSUB |
| Jan 26, 2024 | CSUB 64 – 56 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 2-18 |
| Home | 12-3 | 6-11 |
| Away | 7-8 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 83.4 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#312) | -7.1 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#205) | -0.16 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#213) | -0.07 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#266) | 0.471 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 26.2% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 36.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 61.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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