Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN -600 CSUB +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +26 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -10.8 (+15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -9.2 (+16.8) | 150.2 (-0.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -8.1 (+17.9) | 146.5 (+3.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -9.4 (+16.6) | 150.6 (-0.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -9.7 (+16.3) | 151.9 (-1.9) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CSUN 86 – 84 CSUB |
| Dec 5, 2025 | CSUN 87 – 66 CSUB |
| Jan 12, 2025 | CSUB 94 – 90 CSUN |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 71 CSUB |
| Jan 26, 2024 | CSUB 64 – 56 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 10-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#110) | -4.2 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#115) | -0.59 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#120) | -0.72 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#140) | 0.459 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.6% | 39.5% |
Game Analysis
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