Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | MONT -300 PRST +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +9 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -6.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -4.9 (+4.1) | 141.3 (+19.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -4.6 (+4.4) | 142.6 (+18.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -4.4 (+4.6) | 144.7 (+16.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -4.8 (+4.2) | 142.9 (+18.1) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | MONT 75 – 72 PRST |
| Feb 28, 2026 | MONT 74 – 68 PRST |
| Jan 30, 2026 | MONT 64 – 60 PRST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRST 79 – 76 MONT |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MONT 92 – 78 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-10 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#236) | -7.0 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#194) | -1.64 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#197) | -1.64 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#190) | 0.411 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 28.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 17.4% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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