Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.0 Over |
| Money | IOWA -2400 NEB +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +23 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -18.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -16.9 (+6.1) | 163.4 (+9.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -16.3 (+6.7) | 160.1 (+12.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -16.4 (+6.6) | 162.5 (+10.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -17.2 (+5.8) | 163.6 (+9.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 26, 2026 | IOWA 77 – 71 NEB |
| Mar 8, 2026 | NEB 84 – 75 IOWA |
| Feb 18, 2026 | IOWA 57 – 52 NEB |
| Mar 9, 2025 | IOWA 83 – 68 NEB |
| Jan 8, 2025 | IOWA 97 – 87 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 4-16 |
| Home | 15-3 | 7-12 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 15.0 (#18) | -0.7 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#38) | -0.38 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.63 (#36) | 0.05 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#55) | 0.465 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.85 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 12.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 19.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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