Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | NEB -218 IOWA +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +9 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -5.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -6.8 (+2.2) | 132.1 (+26.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -6.4 (+2.6) | 132.1 (+26.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -6.9 (+2.1) | 132.4 (+26.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -7.1 (+1.9) | 131.9 (+27.1) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 26, 2026 | IOWA 77 – 71 NEB |
| Feb 18, 2026 | IOWA 57 – 52 NEB |
| Mar 9, 2025 | IOWA 83 – 68 NEB |
| Jan 8, 2025 | IOWA 97 – 87 NEB |
| Jan 13, 2024 | IOWA 94 – 76 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 16-2 | 15-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 18.7 (#18) | 16.3 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.51 (#12) | 2.29 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.21 (#13) | 3.08 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#19) | 0.569 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.87 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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