Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | NEB -125 IOWA +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | NEB -2.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -3.3 (-9.3) | 131.7 (+16.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -3.1 (-9.1) | 131.2 (+16.8) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -3.4 (-9.4) | 134.0 (+14.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -2.2 (-8.2) | 131.0 (+17.0) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NEB 84 – 75 IOWA |
| Feb 18, 2026 | IOWA 57 – 52 NEB |
| Mar 9, 2025 | IOWA 83 – 68 NEB |
| Jan 8, 2025 | IOWA 97 – 87 NEB |
| Jan 13, 2024 | IOWA 94 – 76 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 16-2 | 15-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 19.0 (#18) | 16.7 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.64 (#9) | 2.55 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.31 (#13) | 3.28 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#19) | 0.573 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.85 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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