Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -205 NEB +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +18 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -4.9 (+13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -3.6 (+14.4) | 161.5 (+8.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -3.8 (+14.2) | 159.9 (+10.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -3.4 (+14.6) | 159.2 (+10.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -3.8 (+14.2) | 159.7 (+10.3) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 26, 2026 | IOWA 77 – 71 NEB |
| Mar 8, 2026 | NEB 84 – 75 IOWA |
| Feb 18, 2026 | IOWA 57 – 52 NEB |
| Mar 9, 2025 | IOWA 83 – 68 NEB |
| Jan 8, 2025 | IOWA 97 – 87 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-4 | 18-1 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.1 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#40) | 10.0 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#95) | 2.38 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#91) | 2.91 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#109) | 0.604 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.86 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.