Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | NEB -360 IOWA +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +15 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | NEB -5.2 (-20.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -5.8 (-20.8) | 154.0 (-3.0) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -5.8 (-20.8) | 153.8 (-2.8) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -5.8 (-20.8) | 155.3 (-4.3) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -6.3 (-21.3) | 155.8 (-4.8) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 26, 2026 | IOWA 77 – 71 NEB |
| Mar 8, 2026 | NEB 84 – 75 IOWA |
| Feb 18, 2026 | IOWA 57 – 52 NEB |
| Jan 8, 2025 | IOWA 97 – 87 NEB |
| Jan 13, 2024 | IOWA 94 – 76 NEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 82.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#57) | 9.1 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#56) | 1.32 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#45) | 1.90 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#57) | 0.517 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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