Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -5.0 Push |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -220 UTAH +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +5 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -4.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -5.7 (-0.7) | 139.4 (+17.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -6.1 (-1.1) | 139.8 (+17.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -5.4 (-0.4) | 140.1 (+16.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -5.5 (-0.5) | 140.4 (+16.6) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | COLO 92 – 78 UTAH |
| Jan 8, 2026 | COLO 85 – 73 UTAH |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTAH 72 – 59 COLO |
| Mar 15, 2024 | COLO 72 – 58 UTAH |
| Feb 25, 2024 | COLO 89 – 65 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 4-16 |
| Home | 12-6 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-4 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#98) | 4.1 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#86) | -0.08 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#88) | 0.18 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#123) | 0.468 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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