Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -108 COLO -112 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +14 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -0.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -0.5 (-13.5) | 150.1 (+19.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -0.3 (-14.3) | 148.3 (+21.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -0.4 (-14.4) | 146.4 (+23.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -0.6 (-14.6) | 146.9 (+23.1) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | COLO 85 – 73 UTAH |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTAH 72 – 59 COLO |
| Mar 15, 2024 | COLO 72 – 58 UTAH |
| Feb 25, 2024 | COLO 89 – 65 UTAH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UTAH 73 – 68 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-9 | 13-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 80.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#108) | 7.8 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#115) | 1.60 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#117) | 2.20 (#59) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#202) | 0.543 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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