Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH -163 COLO +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +5 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -3.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -3.1 (+1.9) | 153.4 (-12.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -2.5 (+2.5) | 150.6 (-9.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -2.7 (+2.3) | 151.4 (-10.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -2.7 (+2.3) | 152.4 (-11.4) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | COLO 92 – 78 UTAH |
| Jan 8, 2026 | COLO 85 – 73 UTAH |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTAH 72 – 59 COLO |
| Mar 15, 2024 | COLO 72 – 58 UTAH |
| Feb 25, 2024 | COLO 89 – 65 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 13-7 |
| Home | 17-2 | 16-1 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#27) | 13.2 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#50) | 1.85 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#57) | 2.46 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#43) | 0.599 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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