Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -500 UTAH +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +12 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -9.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -10.0 (+2.0) | 161.6 (-3.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -9.0 (+3.0) | 159.3 (-1.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -9.6 (+2.4) | 159.3 (-1.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -9.0 (+3.0) | 159.9 (-1.9) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | COLO 92 – 78 UTAH |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTAH 72 – 59 COLO |
| Mar 15, 2024 | COLO 72 – 58 UTAH |
| Feb 25, 2024 | COLO 89 – 65 UTAH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UTAH 73 – 68 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 2-16 |
| Home | 13-5 | 8-9 |
| Away | 2-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.2 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#87) | 1.9 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#63) | 0.43 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#60) | 0.21 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#63) | 0.503 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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