Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -300 UTAH +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +24 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -3.5 (+20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -3.6 (+20.4) | 156.0 (-2.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -4.9 (+19.1) | 152.3 (+1.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -4.1 (+19.9) | 153.2 (+0.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -4.0 (+20.0) | 155.9 (-1.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | COLO 92 – 78 UTAH |
| Jan 8, 2026 | COLO 85 – 73 UTAH |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTAH 72 – 59 COLO |
| Mar 15, 2024 | COLO 72 – 58 UTAH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UTAH 73 – 68 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 16-1 | 17-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#36) | 12.1 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#59) | 1.55 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#52) | 1.82 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#53) | 0.565 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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