Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -213 UTAH +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +14 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -0.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (-24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -0.4 (+13.6) | 152.3 (-22.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -1.1 (+12.9) | 149.3 (-19.3) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -0.9 (+13.1) | 151.1 (-21.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -0.7 (+13.3) | 150.7 (-20.7) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | COLO 92 – 78 UTAH |
| Jan 8, 2026 | COLO 85 – 73 UTAH |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTAH 72 – 59 COLO |
| Feb 25, 2024 | COLO 89 – 65 UTAH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UTAH 73 – 68 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 16-1 | 17-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#29) | 12.6 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#47) | 1.45 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#45) | 1.78 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#37) | 0.560 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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