Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH -275 COLO +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +13 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -6.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -6.4 (+6.6) | 140.6 (-9.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -7.2 (+5.8) | 139.0 (-8.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -6.1 (+6.9) | 140.4 (-9.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -6.2 (+6.8) | 140.4 (-9.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | COLO 92 – 78 UTAH |
| Jan 8, 2026 | COLO 85 – 73 UTAH |
| Mar 15, 2024 | COLO 72 – 58 UTAH |
| Feb 25, 2024 | COLO 89 – 65 UTAH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UTAH 73 – 68 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 14-21 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 3-17 |
| Home | 15-4 | 11-7 |
| Away | 1-9 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#69) | 5.0 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#83) | 0.47 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#82) | 0.58 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#154) | 0.479 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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