Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | PFW -220 UIC +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PFW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +7 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | PFW -4.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -4.2 (+2.8) | 141.0 (-2.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -4.0 (+3.0) | 141.9 (-2.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -4.0 (+3.0) | 142.8 (-3.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -4.0 (+3.0) | 143.4 (-4.4) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2022 | PFW 78 – 72 UIC |
| Jan 9, 2021 | PFW 88 – 55 UIC |
| Jan 9, 2021 | PFW 96 – 89 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PFW | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 15-6 | 9-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 6-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#256) | -6.4 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#250) | -1.27 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#263) | -1.86 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#266) | 0.440 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PFW | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 13.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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