Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | PFW -300 UIC +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PFW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +6 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | PFW -6.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -5.1 (+0.9) | 151.2 (-1.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -6.2 (-0.2) | 150.5 (-0.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -5.4 (+0.6) | 153.0 (-3.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -5.3 (+0.7) | 152.1 (-2.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2022 | PFW 73 – 66 UIC |
| Jan 9, 2021 | PFW 88 – 55 UIC |
| Jan 9, 2021 | PFW 96 – 89 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PFW | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 15-6 | 9-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 6-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#228) | -6.7 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#209) | -1.24 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#225) | -1.69 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#188) | 0.467 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PFW | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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