Betting Lines
| Spread | Pick'em Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | MIZ -110 MISS -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +6 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -1.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -0.4 (+5.6) | 132.9 (+9.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -0.4 (+5.6) | 134.7 (+7.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -0.0 (+6.0) | 133.6 (+8.4) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -0.3 (+5.7) | 134.7 (+7.3) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | MISS 76 – 69 MIZ |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MIZ 83 – 75 MISS |
| Mar 3, 2024 | MISS 84 – 78 MIZ |
| Feb 18, 2024 | MISS 79 – 76 MIZ |
| Mar 4, 2023 | MIZ 82 – 77 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-8 | 10-8 |
| Away | 2-10 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#151) | 5.1 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#128) | 0.96 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#119) | 1.24 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#153) | 0.519 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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