Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | MIZ -111 MISS -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +6 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -2.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (+16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -1.3 (-4.7) | 146.7 (+15.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -2.8 (-3.2) | 145.5 (+16.5) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -2.2 (-3.8) | 145.8 (+16.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -2.2 (-3.8) | 147.2 (+14.8) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | MISS 76 – 69 MIZ |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MIZ 83 – 75 MISS |
| Feb 18, 2024 | MISS 79 – 76 MIZ |
| Mar 4, 2023 | MIZ 82 – 77 MISS |
| Jan 25, 2023 | MIZ 89 – 77 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-11 | 14-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L19 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#138) | 7.1 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#219) | 1.97 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#187) | 2.28 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#239) | 0.574 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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